Thursday, August 14, 2008

Pre-Market Analysis (ER2) 8/14

Performance of Major Indices:

% Change

Aug 13

Aug 12

Aug 11

Aug 8

Aug 7

DOW

-0.94

-1.19

+0.41

+2.65

-1.93

S&P 500

-0.29

-1.20

+0.69

+2.39

-1.79

COMPQ

-0.08

-0.38

+1.07

+2.48

-0.95

RUT

+0.37

-0.81

+2.28

+2.93

-1.72


Possible market-moving factors (for Aug 13)

  1. Retail sales report
  2. Oil
  3. Low trading volume (typical summer volume) amplifying price swings
  4. Long-drawn-out concern about a weak financial sector
  5. Ongoing bad news from banks and brokerages underpinning public’s concern that the housing and credit crisis are far from over

Factors that will potentially move the market today:

  1. Oil
  2. Financials
  3. Yesterday’s intra-day trading movement (indices bouncing off lows during mid-day)
  4. Economic data report

Economic Data to be released today:

Time (EST)

Data

Consensus

Previous

8:30a.m

Initial Jobless Claims

8K

+7K.

8:30a.m

Consumer Price Index

+0.4%

+1.1%

8:30a.m

CPI, Ex-Food & Energy

+0.2%

+0.3%

___________________________________________________

Russell 2000 (E-Mini)

Estimated Volume

241, 852

Expiration

Sep 19 2008

Contract high

845.6 (Oct 29 2007)

Contract low

646.0 (Mar 17 2007)

ER2U8 (For Trading on Aug 14)

Close

747.90

Change

0.09 %

Volume

439

Open Interest

575,664

00:00 EST

05:00 EST

06:00 EST

09:20 EST

An Article a Day for D

Psychology of a Bottom


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