Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Trades (6B & DIG) 10/21 - Wed

DIG 10min (ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas)
ETFs trading is good for my heart. Maximum downside is USD 3000 in this case (100 shares of something that costs 30 over bucks per share). Besides, it's virtually impossible for the fund to go bust.

In any case, I had my hard stop of USD 23 in place. That's a tiny fraction of what is needed to trade 1 futures contract. D says I looked almost too relaxed the whole time (He was worried about oil inventory report and told me to get out, and I said "No". I was watching CL turned from green to red then to green and I sat, til DIG started shooting up and CL started to come down from its high).

I definitely like the slower pace ETF trading in the evening (US morning).

PnL (Net): + USD 281.31

Early Bird Catches The Scraggy Worms

6B 89-Ticks

DayTrader 233, see this??!!

WHY???!!!

More important is....

WHY ME????!!!!!!

Oh, I forgot.

I scalp.

No more naps for sleepyhead Jules!

6B Trade 10/21 (Wed)

6B 89-Ticks

Definitely getting a little greedier. Once out of trade, and when D called, I complained about not having sat on the trade til it hit my final target.

D suggested I start getting used to scaling out.

Well, I'll get there.

Right now, learning to sit on profitable trades remains my priority.

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Trades (6B, 6E, NQ & UUP) 10/20 - Tues

Pre- Market (2nd trade, about 10 hours after the 6B trade):

6E 200-Ticks

After US Market Open:
1) NQ 233-Ticks
2) UUP 133-Ticks (Power Shares DB US DOLLAR Index BULLISH)
PnL (Net): + USD 179

D was amused that I bought UUP (he bought financials and the thing was moving like a maniac). He asked why. To which I replied coz everything has gone so high up, and the dollar has sunk so low, and when looking at the TWS, everything that's not GOLD or BOND is starting to turn or has turned red.

Half an hour into my trade, I was as amused as D was. The darn thing just doesn't move! D suggested that I get out at breakeven and buy the DX or bond instead. I had him take a look at the charts of DX and the ZF, ZT, ZN and ZB, and he shut up. Price on those charts had totally skyrocketed while I was waiting for UUP to move! If I were to go in then, I would be chasing.

So, I stuck with UUP.

It moved finally. Not much in terms of absolute dollar amount.

But I'm happy.

It's not the money!

6B Trade 10/20 (Tues)

6B 200-Ticks
One of the reasons I like Tues, Wed & Thurs, and maybe even Fri: charts that greet me early in the morning (it's 10am here where I live, 3 hours after I first opened my charts this morning) are decent looking.

There are more than one chart that look promising, and I've chosen 6B coz I've gotten to know it better than the others (6A, 6S, 6C, mini silver, mini gold, cotton, wheat, GAS, BEANS - basically, everything except DX and bonds). And of course, I love the smaller tick value. Allows me to put a realistic stop which allows the trade some room to move.

Monday, October 19, 2009

Trades 10/19 (Mon) - Wrap Up

UNG 133-Ticks

This is fun! I've only bought and sold unleveraged products for my aunt but have never traded anything else other than forex and futures myself.

Setting hard stop at the low of day was not a problem. I even went out for a smoke half way during the trade.

Letting profits run was a breeze!

Truly refreshing.

So 3 trades today:
Long E7
Long 6B
Long UNG (don't ask me what company this is coz I have no idea - all I know is that its average volume is 10mil shares/day).

E7 & 6B Trades 10/19 (Mon)

PnL (Net): + USD 183.85

6B trade was a scratch. Just didn't feel that price was ready to reverse. It's been a pretty slow day. Many charts were plain ugly. A rather typical Monday. Will be watching mostly index futures and ETFs later today.
6B 200-Ticks
D had Oanda re-installed and I'm going to be spending some time getting re-acquainted with the platform (the last time I touched it was a year ago if I remember correctly - and was pleasantly surprised to see INTEREST paid to me!) while arranging for additional funds to be wired to Oanda (I hardly used leverage back then, but was trading micro lots, so the account had always been pretty darn small).

I'm sure it's going to be confusion all over again over pip values.

Will be trading mini lot size of $10K, and trading off the 4-hourly or hourly chart. These are timeframes I hardly use for entries, and it's going to be a real test of my patience (how do you do it, Gav?? And Lonely?? 8-hourly is such a pain to watch...). Again, won't be using any leverage. Will trade one pair at a time.

I wonder if I ever mentioned that Forex was the first instrument I traded...

De'Trader reminded me some time back that when I was still part of their community, I used to share how I traded FX: LET LOSSES RUN, take profit whenever I feel like it.

It worked for me, seriously. There was really no skills involved/needed. And I would trade multiple pairs simultaneously. It was actually rather fun. Those were the days...

E7 Trade 10/19 (Mon)


E7: Emini-EUR Futures
Follows the 6E almost exactly. Volume's really NOT fantastic. Trades like the TF during globex (forget min-charts). Smooth movement. Tick value's half that of 6E's. Commission is significantly lower than 6E's.

E7 89-Tick

Trading Instruments, Trading Plan (Skeleton) & Brokers

A comprehensive list (for now) of instruments and tickers that I'll be scanning for trading opportunities on a daily basis:

Futures
Spot Forex
ETFs

TRADING PLAN (OUTLINE)

I'll be trading purely "W" and "U"/Round bottom reversals either at end of a downtrend, or whenever they are seen around key support zones in a correction in an uptrend. Simply put, I'll only BUY.

All entries will be limit or stop-limit orders.

Hard stops and profit targets will be determined before orders are placed.

Stop-loss will be placed at previous lows with level 1 bullish patterns, or at the floor of a consolidation zone below entry.

Profit targets will be either Fib Ext levels or overhead resistances.

I'll go in with FULL size and scale-out for all DAYTRADES (applies to all FUTURES trading). No scaling in for daytrades.

I'll scale-in only when I see another "W" or "U" setup as price moves higher up. This applies only to SPOT FOREX (where I'll be using a maximum leverage of 1:2) and ETFs trading, which I will hold indefinitely whenever I'm confident that a trend will last for a while.

I'll daytrade both spots forex and ETFs mainly, and hold for a swing only when my profit target is not hit by end of the trading session.

BROKERS

Futures: IB (Main Broker), Rosenthal (considering), TT (considering)

Forex: Oanda

ETFs: IB

Friday, October 16, 2009

6B Trade 10/16 (Fri)

Today's a good day. We brought Al to the vet for a half-yearly review. The good doctor needed some blood from him. He bit her, and is still angry with us now. Everyone that met him at the clinic couldn't stop admiring him. "SO CUTE!!!" Right.

Got home early enough to get a quick bite. TF looked rather hopeless (I was looking for a place to go long). Low of hammer-like candle (first bar of the 10min chart) wasn't low enough (not even close to the levels (613.7 and 611.3) I had my eyes on). So I started looking at other charts.

6B caught my attention:
6B 10min
Total: 2.4 Points
Net PnL: + USD 144.30


1 6B trade, and I'm wrapping up. Am starting to look at ETFs. Really pretty charts. Shortlisted QQQQ, UWM, UCO, DIG and AGQ. These are the only non-leveraged instruments that I'll be trading from now on. Still not interested in daytrading stocks.

Forex and index futures are still my favorite.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

This Business Of Trading

I'm NOT going to be trading today and tomorrow.

Something else has caught my interest - something I believe is knowledge that I have to have as a serious trader.

Until recently, I've never really given much thoughts to issues such as data feeds, robustness of trading platforms, and how my orders are processed (the routes they take to get to the Exchanges, the intermediaries involved, the clearing process etc, etc), coz they are hardly topics you'll find in your Trading 101 syllabus.

For some, the above might NEVER be an issue. But for me, having a thorough understanding of the workings within the industry and the order flow process is instrumental in guiding my decision making in the various aspects of my trading career.

As I've said before, I have no intention of changing my trading style just to get around a problem that I can readily fix by simply eliminating certain undesirable variables. The way I trade is the outward manifestation of my core beliefs and assumptions- about the market and the mobs that trade them, and about myself - as well as my personal values. I can't trade any other way except that which comes as 2nd nature to me , especially if it's one that gives me an edge.

It makes sense for me to look for alternatives that accommodate me, allow me to exploit my edge, and keep me in business.

If I were a farmer running a LARGE farming operation today, I'm not going to be using horses (inefficient, and could trample me to death), coz it simply doesn't make sense when my competitors are using tractors.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

6E & 6B Trades 10/14 (Wed)

6B 377-Tick

6E 200-Tick
Net PnL: + USD 120.40

Pretty crazy day, but I still get my fills each time.

For my 2nd 6B trade, price was going back and forth and I placed a limit order to cover my long when 6B started turning back down after nearly hitting the HOD. When market was trading at 5 ticks below where I had placed my order to exit, my order was matched by bids at the price I had wanted to get out at.

Since going back to IB on Monday, I've had no surprises, getting in and out at my desired price levels. I've even started using stop orders to get in (something I stopped doing on AT coz after my stop is hit, I almost always get filled at a price that's ticks away from stop!) and have had no issue with slippage/spread.

Today's definitely not the best day to trade (lots of news on Europe's side, and FOMC later today) - price movement's erratic. I'll likely stay on the sideline for the rest of the day, unless some really decent setups turn up on 10min charts (index futures).

SPREAD Is The Issue In Question

Following the discussion on my frustration with trade execution, this is what I want to say to wrap up the issue:

The problem I'm having is with SPREAD. Not connection, not speed, not the specs of my PC, not with feeds, not with charts. It's plainly the ridiculous SPREAD of 3 to 4, and on some occasions, 5 ticks (even during active US trading session on non-volatile days!)!

And of course, the covering of an additional contract that I wasn't aware of (no confirmation that order went through, and with DOM confirming there was just 1 contract trading) which DOUBLED my loss.

I have none of the above problem when trading on IB's platform.

I am looking for a video software to capture a live trade on the AT platform. Once installation is done, I will trade the NQ (since it has the smallest tick value among the instruments I trade) live.

TransAct's "Technical Analysis"

TransAct came back with a reply. What they are suggesting is that the problem originates from my end (connection problem).

D wants to do a video capture of both IB and AT platforms to show that we have no connection problem.

I told him to forget it. In the first place, connection problem was NOT what I was complaining about!

But just for argument's sake:

On IB, I have 30 tickers and on TOS I have also 30 tickers and both are streaming in on second by second basis.

My used bandwidth is less than 90kbps (with IB, TOS and TransAct running). Then I turned off IB and TOS, leaving just TransAct on.

With ONLY TransACT on, I'm looking at a pathetic used up bandwidth of less than 10kbps.

When I download videos or files from certain servers in the US, the consumed bandwidth can easily go up to 5Mbps - that is 500 times more than what is required for TransAct.

So, my question is: how could my internet connection be a problem??

D (being a techie himself) challenges his colleagues in other tech departments FOR A LIVING. he knows when someone is pulling a fast one on him.

6B & TF Trades 10/13 (Tues) - Wrap Up

Long TF: 30min OR hit a mere 6.7 points suggesting that a 2nd leg is unlikely(on trending days, TF usually hits about 10 points within 30min after market opens, and a 2nd leg usually follows). Price closed briefly below OR and reversed back up, failing a bear flag.

Covered at Fib Ret 38.2. I had aimed for Fib Ret 50 initially, but didn't like the wait of nearly 10mins.

D said it's a good time to call it a day.

I keep needing someone to remind me to GO SLOW.

TF 10min
Net PnL: +USD 199.50

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

6B Trade 10/13 (Tues)

Long 1 6B contract

6B 377-Ticks
Just one trade for now. Missed my 6E long coz D wanted to go out for a smoke! Came back and saw that 6E had hit my targeted exit. Didn't want to chase and took a look at 6B instead. Saw exactly what I have been waiting for (piercing of support and then turning strongly back up, failing an "M" pattern). I was a little late still, but it's better than chasing what's already at the peak (6E).

After I covered my 6B trade, D apologized profusely over my missed 6E trade. I had wanted to exit at Fib Ext 161.8 (see chart below) and the trade would have yielded a very nice 1.9 point. D's sorry coz I would have had 2 winning trades, according to him. I was amused. Truth is, had I gotten 19 ticks from 6E, I would've had taken a break rather than take another trade immediately after.

6E 200-Tick
D traded the TF instead. Brave (globex hours, there isn't much to see on the chart). Unlike me when I traded the TF during globex hours, he couldn't sit on a retracement and got out at + 2 ticks. D asked how I managed to get my 1, 2, 3 and 4 points on TF during such odd hours. I said coz I sat on 1, 2, 3 and 4 point paper loss first (TF seldom break out pre-market, trading in a range for hours). On a few of those occasions, I had glanced at the PnL column from time to time, and would close my trade once I saw a decent profit. I'm still wondering if being that relaxed is good.

Monday, October 12, 2009

6E, 6B & TF Trades 10/12 (Mon) - Wrap Up

TF 233-ticks & 10 min


Started with 233-tick chart, got in on a scalp setup but bailed when there was no momentum (I've gotten used to 3-tick scalp profits - but this time, I got out exactly where I wanted to).

Switched to 10min and took a trade at the close of the 2nd candle.

What I'm doing is really scanning different instruments and different timeframes (depending on the time of the day and the type of day ie ranging, trending, choppy) for something I recognize. I've studied all the charts over the weekend and drawn in key S & R for 23 charts. So I'm playing levels. Timeframe and type of charts don't matter to me. All of them have been studied for patterns that are fairly reliable in the most recent months. I recognize that at some point in the future (hopefully not too near) these patterns will stop working on their respective timeframes. I will adapt.

IB is good with fills. Although it did die on me from 9:30 to 9:35. But it's something I know that happens CONSISTENTLY. That's why I waited for it to die and come to before I entered my first trade.

I had AT placed right next to IB's booktrader. I attempted to take a trade on AT. I just wasn't able to coz AT wouldn't stop skipping prices. Booktrader was stable and traded through every price. I was able to tape-read again.

I have not decided on what to do with my IF account. I will keep it coz I need it to trade commodities, whenever I'm ready to go live.

I like wheat and soybean.

And, I like Anthony very much.

Today's Trades:


Net PnL : + USD 159


6E & 6B Trades 10/12 (Mon) - On IB

These are live trades on IB's booktrader. No problem with fills at all. For my 6E trades, I had scratched the first trade by hitting offer to cover a long, and I got out in a second. For the 2nd trade, I decided to cover at 2 ticks above market price (I was selling to cover long). There was already a queue of 67 contracts. I got out in under a minute.

I'm still clumsy on the platform given that I've not used it for months, and I'm seeing unfamiliar features but I'll get around that.

The 6E trades were definitely not managed properly. I ought to have used a 2-point stop, but I was in no mood to hold my trades. Just wanted to give the platform a try-out. There's no point testing on SIM. What I want to find out is how the live-platform performs in terms of fills and such.

Trade logs should be read bottom-up.

All longs today. I might trade tonight (US session) if I see what I want to see.


6E 200-ticks
6B 377-ticks

AT Platform & TransAct Issues - Last Straw

I was at my workstation at 8am local time and started watching forex futures. For 3 hours I sat just watching, and finally I see what I want on both 6E and 6J.

I clicked on "Join Bid" after price has taken out the high of the previous candle (I was long the 6E).

No fill.

So I clicked on AT's DOM 3 times - at a place that's 1 tick above market - 3 times coz each time, my orders didn't get through.

Still nothing happened. It seemed. But I knew all too well what was going on, and I clicked "Cancel All" to make sure that I have indeed no orders pending. The DOM IMMEDIATELY showed "Cancel All Complete":

For some strange reasons, I was only allowed to trade 1 contract today. Given what I saw last Friday, where 6E was completely GONE from my list, this was an improvement. At least I could still trade today!

Anyway, just to see if my order was indeed completely cancelled, I clicked bid way below market price (just so that I will definitely NOT get filled), and I wasn't surprised to see "Position Limit Exceeded" on my DOM and on my trade service log:


That was a confirmation that my previous order was still pending (coz I could trade just ONE contract). It was a good 2 minutes after my last execution and my order was not filled, but not cancelled either, and during this time, price has gone way above where I wanted to enter a long on both the 6E and 6J.

I've had a really nasty experience last Friday, where I entered a TF trade at market at around 1:30pm ET, and my order wasn't filled. So I clicked again, and this time, my order got through, and the AT DOM reflected a "+1". I got a really lousy fill (expected, since I was forced to enter at market after I've experienced too many no fills when I clicked on the DOM - even at 1 tick above where price was trading), and when price turned back down 4 ticks, invalidating my entry, I covered. And I was very surprised to see a "-2" on my DOM, meaning that I had lost 8 ticks on the trade (I was up 6 ticks for the day before this trade). I checked my trade log, and saw that I was actually trading TWO contracts, coz my first entry had actually gone through without my knowledge. The DOM showed a "+1" the whole time.

I wrote to Anthony, and he advised that I install the newest Beta version of AT. I did. And this morning, I was using the newest AT version. And it seemed that my problem got worse. First the contract size limit error (I have near $10k with IF - I know that even if I trade globex hours, I can trade MORE than 1 contract), then the fill problem, and then the misleading "cancel all complete" status.

After hours of patiently waiting for a decent setup, and price had moved enough for me to take my usual scalps, on both instruments I had wanted to trade, and I was TRAPPED OUT BY MY TRADING PLATFORM, I would have raised hell.

But I went to make coffee instead. D wakes up to the smell of homebrewed coffee (D's working from home). Yes, I'm scheming. D jumped out of his bed indeed, and as he was sipping coffee, I told him what happened.

D took a look at the trading log that I never knew how to access. And when he showed me what actually happened, I was NOT PLEASED.

The trading log above showed that my orders were cancelled only 2 sometimes 3 minutes later! Had I not been limited to just 1 contract (thank you, AT???), I would have entered 3 to 4 contracts AT LEAST, without knowing!), thinking that all previous orders were cancelled!

D copied an email that he sent to Anthony last Friday, where he highlighted exactly the same problem he faced. Anthony advised installing the new AT version, And that was when D installed it to see if things would improve. He was able to enter by hitting "Join Bid" on Friday.

As I have mentioned, I have been having problems with the AT platform for weeks. And at different times, it gives me different problems. And the problems have gotten more grievous. I have been getting lousy fills getting in and getting out, and I decided to change the way I trade to get around the problem.

I switched to less noisy charts and wait for a more stable setup and timeframe to trade. And I really don't like it when I see price takes off without me, NOT coz I had place a limit at the wrong place, but coz AT doesn't want my business (unless I enter at market and give away 3 to 4 ticks of slippage!).

I am still cool now. But I am not going to put up with this anymore. Last week was filled with lousy executions on good setups and I ended up having to scratch all my trades at lousy fills (I know I was trading within a 2-point range, but it wasn't something I hadn't done before - and 6E's volume was NORMAL - damn, I'm so done with repeating the story!)

The thing is, I'm frustrated that my business being disrupted. I was telling J I am dead serious with what I'm doing, and I have been VERY patient, given that I have by default a very short temper and a very high expectation of the things I use.

Sierra charts gave me a headache over the weekend after I installed the new version. Even my IT guru couldnt' retrieve the data files that I had on the previous versions. He kept going back to the older versions and installing each one of them until he could finally get one that could retrieve my files. At one point I broke into tears and D was shocked. He said he would always be there to help, and asked me not to cry. I told him that was precisely what I didn't want: HELP. I never wanted to fix anything that wasn't broken, and he kept giving me new versions of something that get worse with each version and this time, I lost all my files!

What I still haven't told him til today was that I had gotten really desperate! I can't keep sitting on my hands and give up trading opportunities, and losing money - and sometimes MORE than what I projected I would lose if I laid a bad bet - coz of bad fills and platform faults (telling me that I'm holding one contract instead of two is a fault!). I am aggressive, impatient, ambitious and extremely controlling all at the same time, and all this software issues are really testing my thresholds!

I am writing not to trash Anthony. He has done his best and always prompt in responding. I know it's a TRANSACT issue, and he never once blamed them. I'm very unhappy with TransAct (particularly, the consistently bad fills at market!), and I just want to find out if I am the only one facing all the problems I have mentioned.

I am not even going to give it another week. I am looking for a new trading software and platform (I'll keep Sierra for now, coz I really like the old version!) that allows me to trade SERIOUSLY.

I have asked Lonely for his recommendation, and he's suggested Mirus that's using Zen-fire feeds. I would really appreciate any sharing of experience with TransACT, Zenfire, AT platform (I have used Ninja and don't like it - my coach uses Ninja and IB feeds and loves it - I gather it's coz we trade very differently - he doesn't scalp).

I am not unreasonable - AT's free. But so is IB. IB at least gives me a fill after SECONDS, or outright reject my fills without misleading me, or just kept me logged out forever on a rather regular basis during US session (globex session was fine). But IT DOESN'T MISLEAD ME nor gives me lousy fills! It's actually within one of my considerations now! I'll simply give them the margin they ask for - which I can more than afford, and simply don't understand my folly of going for a $500 margin. Oh yes, I hated their customer service, if there was any to begin with!

So, I'm paying. I am going to pay for a platform that allows me to scalp (for 8 ticks - which I won't even categorize as a scalp - and I really don't want to give away a slippage of 4 ticks for that!), and provides reasonable customer service (a number to call, and someone's actually there to pick up).

I know about TT's X_Trader but I'm looking for something that's less professional for home trading. I'll be using X_Trader in Jan when I join an arcade to trade the Asian market, but I still want to continue to trade the US market from home.

It's 12:47pm now (midnight N.Y.), and I'm wrapping up, with ZERO trades. I am not going in to give away ticks each time anymore. It simply doesn't make any business sense. I am definitely not going to swing trade to accommodate the platform. I scalp. I like it, and I do it well. It is the way I will continue to trade. I simply have to find the tools that allow me to do what I do best PROFITABLY in the long run.

Friday, October 9, 2009

The New Miss Singapore World 2009



Why didn't they pick her the first time???

Lonely, dig this?

Anyway, our people are still complaining.

Nothing makes us happy.